ěLACK & VEATCH, “Levelized Cost of Energy Calculation, Methodology and Sensitivity”, Cost of Energy Calculation_BV_EN.pdf. dan RICOTTI, M., “Research Article: An Evaluation of SMR Economic Attractiveness”, Hindawi Publishing Corporation, Science and Technology of Nuclear Installations, Volume 2014, Article ID 803698, (2014). dan LORENZINI, P.,“NuScale: A Modular, Scalable Approach to Commercial Nuclear Power”, Nuclear News, (2010). dan NINOKATA, H.,”Pioneering Role of IRIS in the Resurgence of Small Modular Reactors”, Nuclear Technology, Vol. PETROVIC, B., RICOTTI, M., MONTI, S., CAVLINA, N.
dan MANCINI, M., “Small-medium Sized Nuclear, Coal and Gas power plant: A Probabilistic Analysis of Their Performances and Influence of CO2 Cost”, Energy Policy, 38, pp. IEA/NEA, “Current Status, Technical Feasibility and Economics of Small Nuclear Reactors”, OECD, Paris, ( Juni 2011) PT PLN (Persero), “Statistik PLN 2013”, Sekretariat Perusahaan PT PLN (Persero), Jakarta, ISSN No. Occurrence probability of LUEC is less than 13 cents USD/kWh (benchmark value) was about 100% on discount rate of 5% and 50% on discount rate of 10%. While LUEC as the results of uncertainty variables simulation on probabilistic approach were 13.10 ± 1.43 cents USD/ kWh on discount rate 10% and 8.11 ± 0.88 cents USD/kWh on discount rate 5%. calculation in deterministic approach was 12.87 cents USD/ kWh.
Whereas the probabilistic approach obtained LUEC of 13.10 plus minus 1.43 cents USD/kWh at a discount rate of 10% and amounted to 8.11 plus minus 0.88 cents USD/kWh at a discount rate of 5%. The results show that the deterministic approach with a discount rate of 10% obtained LUEC at 12.87 cents US$/kWh. Probabilistic approach is done by simulating the effect of uncertainty variable on LUEC using Monte Carlo simulation technique.
The research method is calculating LUEC with deterministic approach followed by the probabilistic approach. The goal of this study was to perform economic analysis of SMR NPP project with capacity 2 x 100 MWe in Indonesia by incorporating an amount of uncertainty variables, namely the probabilistic approach. Economic analysis is a crucial thing that should be done prior to any investment decision on the SMR NPP project and generally done by calculation of Levelized Unit Electricity Cost (LUEC). NPP projects, include SMR, are vulnerable to a number of uncertainty variables. SMR NPP is an alternative to overcome the dependency to diesel power plant especially in outside Java Bali system. International Conference on Nuclear Energy Technologies and Sciences (2015)
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